ÐÏࡱá>þÿ þÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿd. of cumulative demands; CUMD3 = MEAN1 + MEAN2 + MEAN3; CUMD2 = MEAN1 + MEAN2; ! This assumes demands are independent; CUMSD3 = (SD1 * SD1 + SD2 * SD2 + SD3 * SD3)^.5; CUMSD2 = ( SD1 * SD1 + SD2 * SD2)^.5; ! Compute S; ! Set to 0 marginal expected value of ordering one more unit beyond S, assuming Normal demand.; 0 = - C + V3 * ( 1 - @PSN(( S - CUMD3)/ CUMSD3)) + ( V2 - V3) * ( 1 - @PSN(( S - CUMD2)/ CUMSD2)) + ( V1 - V2) * ( 1 - @PSN(( S - MEAN1)/ SD1)); ! Compute expected profit; !If the demands are D1, D2, and D3, then profit = V3* (( D1 + D2 + D3) - MAX( 0, D1+ D2+ D3 - S)) +( V2 - V3) * (( D1 + D2)- MAX( 0, D1+ D2 - S)) + ( V1 - V2) * ( D1 - MAX( 0, D1 - S)) - C * S; ! Taking expectations; EPROFIT = V3 * (CUMD3- CUMSD3* @PSL(( S- CUMD3)/ CUMSD3)) +(V2- V3)* (CUMD2 -CUMSD2*@PSL((S-CUMD2)/CUMSD2)) +(V1- V2)* (MEAN1- SD1* @PSL((S- MEAN1)/ SD1)) - C * S; END MODEL: ! Multi-echelon newsboy; ! Compute stock to carry, S; DATA: ! The cost/unit of the item; C = 100; ! Selling price/unit at the first level; V1 = 225; ! Selling price/unit at the second level; V2 = 135; ! Selling price/unit at the third level; V3 = 95; ! Mean demands at the three levels; MEAN1 = 1200; MEAN2 = 300; MEAN3 = 400; ! Standard deviations at the three levels; SD1 = 500; SD2 = 150; SD3 = 190; ENDDATA !-----------------------------------------------; ! Compute means and s.þÿÿÿýÿÿÿþÿÿÿþÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿRoot EntryÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿŠCONTENTSÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿŠÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ þÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿRoot Entryÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ*0_šîÏ»òÀð^ë4TfþÄ €ContentsÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿEÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿþÿÿÿýÿÿÿþÿÿÿ þÿÿÿ ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ  !þÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ)); \par \cf3 ! Compute expected profit;\cf2 \par \cf3 !If the demands are D1, D2, and D3, then profit = \par V3* (( D1 + D2 + D3) - MAX( 0, D1+ D2+ D3 - S)) \par +( V2 - V3) * (( D1 + D2)- MAX( 0, D1+ D2 - S)) \par + ( V1 - V2) * ( D1 - MAX( 0, D1 - S)) \par - C * S;\cf2 \par \cf3 ! Taking expectations;\cf2 \par EPROFIT = \par V3 * (CUMD3- CUMSD3* \cf1 @PSL\cf2 (( S- CUMD3)/ CUMSD3)) \par +(V2- V3)* (CUMD2 -CUMSD2*\cf1 @PSL\cf2 ((S-CUMD2)/CUMSD2)) \par +(V1- V2)* (MEAN1- SD1* \cf1 @PSL\cf2 ((S- MEAN1)/ SD1)) \par - C * S; \par \cf1 END\cf2 \par \par } ì‹{\rtf1\ansi\ansicpg1252\deff0\deflang1033{\fonttbl{\f0\fnil\fcharset0 Courier New;}} {\colortbl ;\red0\green0\blue255;\red0\green0\blue0;\red0\green175\blue0;} \viewkind4\uc1\pard\cf1\f0\fs20 MODEL\cf2 : \par \cf3 ! Multi-echelon newsboy;\cf2 \par \cf3 ! Compute stock to carry, S;\cf2 \par \cf1 DATA\cf2 : \par \cf3 ! The cost/unit of the item;\cf2 \par C = 100; \par \cf3 ! Selling price/unit at the first level;\cf2 \par V1 = 225; \par \cf3 ! Selling price/unit at the second level;\cf2 \par V2 = 135; \par \cf3 ! Selling price/unit at the third level;\cf2 \par V3 = 95; \par \cf3 ! Mean demands at the three levels;\cf2 \par MEAN1 = 1200; \par MEAN2 = 300; \par MEAN3 = 400; \par \cf3 ! Standard deviations at the three levels;\cf2 \par SD1 = 500; \par SD2 = 150; \par SD3 = 190; \par \cf1 ENDDATA\cf2 \par \cf3 !-----------------------------------------------;\cf2 \par \cf3 ! Compute means and s.d. of cumulative demands;\cf2 \par CUMD3 = MEAN1 + MEAN2 + MEAN3; \par CUMD2 = MEAN1 + MEAN2; \par \cf3 ! This assumes demands are independent;\cf2 \par CUMSD3 = (SD1 * SD1 + SD2 * SD2 + SD3 * SD3)^.5; \par CUMSD2 = ( SD1 * SD1 + SD2 * SD2)^.5; \par \cf3 ! Compute S;\cf2 \par \cf3 ! Set to 0 marginal expected value of ordering one more unit beyond S, assuming Normal demand.;\cf2 \par 0 = - C \par + V3 * ( 1 - \cf1 @PSN\cf2 (( S - CUMD3)/ CUMSD3)) \par + ( V2 - V3) * ( 1 - \cf1 @PSN\cf2 (( S - CUMD2)/ CUMSD2)) \par + ( V1 - V2) * ( 1 - \cf1 @PSN\cf2 (( S - MEAN1)/ SD1